“[..] NATO does not currently have the ability to repel a possible Russian attack or prevent Russia from occupying territory in the east, in particular along NATO’s eastern borders in Lithuania, Latvia, Estonia, and Poland. This situation is destabilizing, as these countries face the prospect of discovering on any given day that several Russian army divisions are on their frontier with unclear (or perhaps very clear) intentions.” [..]
vara bungas: Izskatās ka 3B armiju kaujas spējām nu ir pēvērsta akadēmiska uzmanība un pētījumu rezultātus vairs nevar skaidrot (un ignorēt) kā viena vai otra eksperta privāto viedokli. 3B sabiedrības aktīvai daļai ir jālasa šos dokumentus un jāpieprasa no politiķiem skaidrojumus, kas pēc viņu domām ir nepareizi novērtēts. Ja viss ir pareizi, kurš ir vainīgs un ko darīt tālāk?
Šeit var aplūkot Minhenes drošības konferences 2016.gada pētījumu Boundless Crises, Reckless Spoilers, Helpless Guardians” , kurā tiek apskatīta globāla drošības situācija, ieskatot Austrumeiropu
..new MSR compiles data, analyses and maps which illuminate major developments and critical challenges to international security. The MSR serves as a conversation starter for the 52nd Munich Security Conference (MSC) and as a background reading for MSC participants, but is also made available to security professionals and the interested public.
These Baltics dynamics are, taken together, a classic example of what political scientists call a security dilemma, in which each side feels insecure and builds up to reach parity, which prompts the other side to do the same. Because neither side can know the other’s intentions for sure, defensive measures are seen as at least potentially offensive, and buildups lead to buildups, which can lead to war.