vara bungas: Džeimstaunas fonda izdevumā somu autors analizē Zapad-2013 mācības (sk.zemāk) un ir pārsteigts atklājot, ka RU savos militāros plānos uzlūko Somiju kā NATO dalībvalsti. Kāpēc gan nē? Mācības modelē nākotnes notikumus un RU analītiķi nav tie sliktākie, viņi jau 2013.gadā zināja ka Krimas okupācija veicinās neitrālo valstu tuvināšanos NATO. Katrā gadījumā somiem tā ir slikta ziņa, neitralitāte neatmaksājas. Baltijas valstīm pētījums neatklāj nekā jauna: esam kaujas lauks (vidējā zona hokeja terminoloģijā).
Pētījums ir profesionāli izstrādāts, tādēļ lasot var būt nedaudz garlaicīgs , bet tas ir noteikti labāks par visu, ko līdz šim par Zapad-2013 sarakstījuši žurnālisti.
Daži citāti (izcēlumi – VB):
[…] Who, then, was depicted as an enemy in the Zapad-2013 exercise? From all available evidence it was first and foremost the Baltic countries’ troops backed by other NATO forces thrusting toward Belarus and Kaliningrad. But quite intriguingly, Finnish troops were also depicted as attacking the Russian positions on the Karelian Isthmus. This is particularly puzzling, since Finland has, over the past two decades, time and again, stressed its military non-alignment, and the Finnish political leadership has bent over backwards trying to make sure that the Finnish position was crystal clear: membership in NATO for Finland is not in the cards. […]
[…] over the last few years, Russian economic interests in the Arctic and the Baltic Sea basin have noticeably increased. This goes hand-in-hand with the Russian energy production and energy transmission route interests in the north of Russia. As a consequence, Russian military interest has also steadily grown in those parts. The Russian authorities have declared that two Arctic brigades are being planned. […] It will remain to be seen if the plans will be implemented and properly resourced, but the current best guess is that the Arctic brigades will be operational by 2015–2017. […]
[…] Zapad-2013’s territorial coverage, scope of operations, and the number of units and force types involved strongly indicate that Russia was training its forces for a large-scale conflict against a conventional enemy.[…]